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Jack
Kemp has
spent most
of his adult
life in the
public
spotlight,
first in the
sporting
arena as an
All-Pro
quarterback
in the AFL
and NFL,
then in the
political
arena as a
Congressman,
Cabinet
Secretary,
and
candidate
for Vice
President of
the United
States.
Kemp’s
career is
filled with
many
achievements.
One of the most significant occurred when he persuaded Ronald
Reagan to
make tax
cuts the
centerpiece
of his
economic
plan for
President in
1980. The
success of
that plan
changed the
face of the
tax debate,
convincing a
generation
of lawmakers
that keeping
taxes low
was not just
smart
politics,
but smart
policy that
fueled
economic
growth.
The Forum spoke recently with Secretary Kemp about the state of the
tax debate
in the U.S.
today, the
role tax
cuts played
in making
the Reagan
Presidency a
success, and
whether the
issue of
taxes is
still
relevant as
America
prepares to
elect a new
President
later this
year.
RF: To put things into historical perspective, could you talk about
the
political
and economic
climate in
the late
1970s when
the issue of
tax cuts
first became
part of the
national
debate. What
was the mood
of the
country at
the time?
JK: I was in the Congress from Buffalo, New York since 1971, and we had
suffered
through the
wage and
price
controls and
the
inflation
and
recession of
the Nixon
years. We
never really
got out of
it under
Gerald Ford,
a dear
friend of
mine. We go
into the
mid-‘70s,
and I had
been toying
with tax
policy as a
way of
encouraging
job creation
in the
country and
obviously in
my district
of Buffalo,
which was a
heavy
industry
district,
heavily
unionized.
Nixon had taken us off the gold standard in 1972. We went out of
the Bretton
Woods
Agreement,
which
de-linked
the dollar
to an ounce
of gold.
Taxes were
quite high
particularly
in New York
State. So we
had the
combination
of both
inflation
and
unemployment,
of slow
growth with
a weakening
dollar. The
political
climate was
mixed
because
there were
rumblings of
Ronald
Reagan
[running] to
Ford’s
right. I had
been, as I
said,
flirting/toying
with a job
creation
piece of
legislation.
I happened
to be
reading a
speech by
John F.
Kennedy at
the New York
Economic
Club in
November of
‘62, I
believe, and
I came
across a
paragraph in
which he
said it’s
paradoxically
true that
high tax
rates cause
low tax
revenues.
The best way
to get more
revenue is
to bring
down the
rates and
expand the
economy.
Well, that appealed to me, because I had been frustrated by the
Ford White
House and
the
Congressional
Budget
Office, who
always
scored any
reduction of
tax rates in
a static
analysis.
All it did
was hurt
revenue. And
I read this
statement,
and I
noticed
going back
into the
history
books, that
the budget
of the
United
States came
into balance
in 1964-65,
before the
Vietnam War
got out of
control for
Johnson. So
I told my
staff,
“Please go
get me an
exact
duplicate of
the Kennedy
tax cut.”
And it came
out to be
the
Kemp-Roth
30% over
three years
tax rate
reduction
that was
criticized
heavily by
both
Republicans
and
Democrats.
But I poured
my political
efforts into
and sold it
to Reagan in
‘79. He was
the only
national
Republican
leader to
support it.
I was called “the witch doctor” by Baker, “a snake oil salesman” by
another
Republican,
and George
Bush called
it “voodoo
economics.”
But it was
the
beginning of
the first
attempt by
the
Republican
Party since
Coolidge to
bring down
the high tax
rates that
at that time
were 70% on
ordinary
income and
49% percent
on capital
gains, which
Bill Steiger
reduced to
28%,
literally
all by
himself,
with my
help. But he
advanced
that idea in
’79 or early
’80, so that
was the
beginning of
what we
called
supply side
economics.
RF: These days, the virtue of lower taxes is an accepted political
reality.
Back then,
that wasn’t
the case.
How much of
what you had
to do
involved
simple
education —
making sure
people
understood
that the
status quo
was
unacceptable,
and that
higher tax
rates were
holding the
economy and
American
workers
back?
JK: It
was tough.
It was as
tough in my
own party as
it was in
the other
party.
Because it
was not
Republican
orthodoxy.
The
Republican
Party en
masse voted
against the
Kennedy tax
cuts of ’61
and ‘62.
Barry
Goldwater,
the champion
of
conservatism,
voted
against the
Kennedy tax
cuts. Howard
Baker’s
father voted
against
them. The
Republican
orthodoxy
was balance
the budget
first and
then cut tax
rates. Well,
we never
balanced the
budget
because we
never could
get the
economy
growing
enough, so
convincing
the
Republican
Party was
difficult at
the national
level.
It was easier for me in the House where I had built up a lot of
friends and
allies by
pushing
pro-growth
economic
issues for
almost five
straight
years and
building
kind of a,
for lack of
a better
word, a
progressive
conservatism
—conservative
values but
progressive
ideas on tax
policy and
inner city
economic
development
that I
called
enterprise
zones.
RF: You mentioned Ronald Reagan earlier. You are credited with
convincing
him to make
tax cuts the
central part
of his
economic
platform for
President in
1980. Could
you talk a
little bit
about how
that came
about?
JK: I
worked for
him in the
off-season.
I gave a
speech to
the AFL-CIO
convention
of
longshoremen,
I think in
‘79, in Bal
Harbor,
Florida; and
got a huge
ovation from
Puerto Rican
and African
American and
Latino
longshoremen.
Teddy Gleason, the longshoremen’s president from New York, was a
good friend
of mine. He
was a
Catholic
Democrat who
liked me
because I
played
professional
football.
And I was
talking
about jobs
and lower
tax rates on
labor and
capital.
I’ve never
talked about
capital
formation
that I
didn’t talk
about labor.
And just as
a
parenthetical
point, if
you look at
the New York
state income
tax in the
1970’s, it
went up to
14% and the
federal
income tax
was 70%.
Very few
people paid
it
obviously,
but it was
70%. And
we’d had all
that
inflation in
the
mid-’70s, so
working men
and women,
longshoremen
who made
good wages
—
$40,000,
$50,000,
$55,000 —
they had
been
inflated
into high
brackets,
where half
of their
income
almost,
after taxes,
was removed
from their
purchasing
power.
They were a ready constituency, and I went down to Bal Harbor and
sold them on
this idea,
quoted
Kennedy
obviously.
Reagan read
about it in
Human
Events, and
he called me
out to
California
to brief
him. He
supported
it, and he
said, “Jack,
I remember
when the top
income tax
rate was
91%.” He
understood
the steep
progressivity
of our code
and how
anti-work it
was, how
anti-investment
it was, and,
when it
intersected
with
inflation,
how it
pushed
normal wages
up into tax
brackets
that were
always
reserved for
the Mellons
and the
Rockefellers
but never
the blue
collar
working
folks of New
York or
California
or wherever.
Reagan
understood
it, then
adopted and
ran on it.
The rest is
history.
RF: Let’s flash forward to this year’s election: some people
believe that
the tax cut
issue has
lost its
effectiveness,
and that the
message of
letting
people keep
more of what
they earn
just doesn’t
resonate
with voters
like it used
to. Do you
agree with
that?
JK: No,
I really
don’t. I
read David
Frum, I read
David Brooks
in the New
York Times.
They both
use that
argument.
But the
issue was
never
leaving
money in
people’s
pockets. The
money —
the
issue of
leaving
money in
people’s
pockets —
was
never used
by Reagan or
by me.
What we were doing was shifting the incentives by lowering the
marginal tax
rates and
increasing
the
after-tax
income for
work,
savings, and
investment.
All of this
was done at
the margin
where people
make their
decisions.
Yes, you got
to keep more
after-tax
income. But
it also
shifted
working and
investing
decisions by
creating a
greater
incentive at
the margin
to put your
money at
risk or into
extra work.
So it was
sold by
Kennedy
almost as a
Keynesian
demand-side
solution to
the
stagnation
of the early
‘60s.
Reagan used
it as an
incentive to
increase the
reward for
work,
savings,
investment,
and
entrepreneurship.
In the current dilemma of what to do, I believe tax reform is back
at the top
of the
Republican
agenda, with
simplification.
But in the
meantime,
during this
slowdown, we
have the
highest
corporate
income tax
rate in the
world other
than Japan;
it’s 35% and
it should
come down
to, I don’t
know,
20-25%. I
think the
income tax
rate is too
high at the
top. We’ve
indexed
income tax
rates; we’ve
never
indexed
capital
gains rates.
So I think it’s very much alive, particularly in the tax reform
movement,
and
something
that should
be at the
forefront of
any
Republican
presidential
campaign.
RF: Following on to those comments, what do you see as the greatest
challenge
our nation
faces today
with regard
to its tax
policy?
JK: First of all, our rates are too high both on personal and corporate
income. The
double
taxation on
dividends is
counterproductive.
The bigger
challenge is
reforming
the tax code
in such a
way that you
answer the
static
analyses
that are
done by the
opponents
— by the
Joint
Committee on
Taxation,
the Joint
Budget
Committee.
Those are real hurdles, and whoever is the candidate — I’m
supporting
McCain —
is going
to really
have to
understand
the issue
and sell it
to the
American
people based
upon a
dynamic
analysis of
what it
could
achieve for
the American
economy.
RF: Finally, let me ask you a question that goes beyond tax policy.
Throughout
your career,
you have
always been
very attuned
to Reagan
Democrats –
those
hardworking,
blue collar
Americans
who grew up
admiring
Franklin
Roosevelt
but voted
for Ronald
Reagan
because they
believed he
understood
their
concerns and
would make a
difference
in their
lives. Have
Republicans
lost Reagan
Democrats
and, if so,
how do they
go about
winning them
back?
JK: I don’t agree with those who say that the Reagan Coalition is over.
It’s
certainly
undergoing
some
changes. I
don’t think
you can
appeal to
them simply
the same way
Ronnie
Reagan did
on defense
and taxes. I
think we’ve
got to be
more, uh,
compassionate
if you will.
You’ve got
to approach
people from
the
standpoint
that they
want the
same things
for their
family that
we want for
our
families:
good
education, a
chance at
the American
Dream,
upward
mobility.
One way I’ve done it or tried to do it is to appeal to their desire
to own a
home. I
think we
have to
appeal to
their desire
to take part
in what Bush
called the
ownership
society. I
don’t think
he really
sold it very
well,
unfortunately.
I think it’s
a great
idea. I was
debating
John Edwards
on poverty
and he kept
saying he
liked Jack
Kemp, and
the trouble
with Kemp
and the
Republican
Party is
they
represent
investors
and
Democrats
represent
workers. And
I said,
“Wait a
minute John.
Workers and
investors
are not two
separate
people.
They’re the
same people
at different
stages of
their life.
A worker in
the office
is an
investor. A
worker who
has a 401k
or a Roth
IRA is an
investor. A
worker who’s
got a
pension is
an
investor.”
The
“investor
class,” as
Larry Kudlow
likes to
talk about,
is up to
over 60% of
the American
people. So
we should
appeal to
their desire
to
democratize
capitalism.
Capitalism works great at the top of the ladder; it’s not working
well enough
down the
rungs of the
ladder
because we
haven’t made
more
opportunities
for workers
to
participate
in this
great
investor/ownership
democracy of
ours.
RF
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